Dernière mise à jour
28 octobre 2025
Conditions d'utilisation
Utilisation libre. Obligation d’indiquer la source.

Description

To assess the possible consequences of potential changes in snow accumulation and temperature and their impact on avalanche hazard, we introduce a comprehensive multi-step framework. It includes the analysis of climate change scenarios as well as the modeling of future snow covers and the simulation of avalanches in a case study region in central Switzerland. Using a downscaling and a quantile mapping approach, we considered the high emission RCP8.5 from the CH2018 Swiss climate change scenarios and simulated a potential snow cover of more than 100 future winters with the snow cover model SNOWPACK. Changing snow accumulation and snow cover temperature was taken into account for two future time frames. The changed parameters were used in the RAMMS::EXTENDED avalanche simulation software on large scale.

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Informations complémentaires

Identifier
f8c79bef-975d-41db-90ad-5bd6b298befd@envidat
Date de publication
14 juillet 2025
Date de modification
28 octobre 2025
Conforme à
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Editeur
EnviDat
Points de contact
Langues
Anglais
Informations complémentaires
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Landing page
https://www.envidat.ch/#/metadata/a-novel-approach-for-bridging-the-gap-between-climate-change-scenarios-and-avala
Documentation
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Couverture temporelle
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Couverture spatiale
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Intervalle d'actualisation
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